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The Fourth Transportation Student Research Symposium
Abstract Detail
| Name |
School |
Title of presentation |
| Jieping LI |
Boston University |
Travel Demand Models In The Developing World: Correcting For Measurement Errors
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Interstate Highway and Industrial Clustering
The research addressed in this paper is how to develop mode choice models for planning and policy analysis when high quality level of
service data are not available. The research makes use of a 1,001 household travel and activity survey from Chengdu in China collected
by the China Project at Harvard University in 2005. Chengdu has an urban population of over 3 million and a GDP growth rate of over
20% per year. The survey contains a rich array of self-assessed information on available modes and accessibility and also includes
a number of attitudinal questions. The approach taken here is to treat level of service as a latent (i.e., unobservable) variable.
Measurement equations (from the structural equation model paradigm) are used to infer latent level of service, and these equations
are integrated with the mode choice model. Our initial results indicate that models that do not correct for measurement error may
significantly underestimate travelers’ values of time. The methodological approach employed has potential for improving models estimated
with higher quality network data, because it can correct for measurement error that exists, for example, in network-derived level of
service variables.
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Last updated January 9, 2009
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